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Marketing
drives the bottom line
Marketers
have long had a poor image
for numbers: yes they
have a passion for customers,
a zest for creativity,
a focus on delivery… but
an aversion to finance.
No wonder marketers struggle
to find a voice in the
boardroom, that budgets
are under threat when
the case to retain or
grow them is weakly made,
and that effectiveness
and accountability are
regularly identified as
the key issues for marketers
today.
At
the same time, marketing
directors are increasingly
concerned at the amount
of time spent on data
analysis, and the value
it creates. The mountains
of customer data provided
by one to one relationship
programmes, the precision
of sophisticated research
and database capabilities,
and the numerous metrics
introduced to improve
marketing effectiveness,
have introduced a level
of science to marketing,
but also created a fear
of "analysis paralysis".
One marketing director
recently described her
frustrations in seeking
to recruit good marketers.
"There are a lot
of well disciplined,
analytically strong
marketers out there.
But I really struggle
to find ones who also
have a creative edge
these days". London
Business School's Tim
Ambler also expresses
concern that the focus
on numbers is in danger
of killing marketing's
passion and creativity.
He even argues "marketers
do not need to understand
and use finance-speak,
but only as an addition
to their more important
value-generating skills."
The answer is to use
finance wisely. Marketers
must think harder about
which are the right
numbers to use, and
how they can be used
to open up new marketing
opportunities, to strengthen
the case for investment
and support, to demonstrate
the impact on the business
short- and long-term,
and to remind the CEO
that marketing is actually
the best thing he or
she could do. Indeed,
PA's new research shows
that marketing is the
biggest driver of value
creation in a business,
yet few companies and
their marketers have
made the connections
to make the most of
it.
Market leaders such
as Nike and Orange are
examples of outstanding
shareholder value creation,
in large part due to
excellent marketing.
In the case of Nike,
CEO Phil Knight has
driven a culture of
constant market and
product innovation,
with a keen focus on
the bottom line, showing
that even long-haired
revolutionaries can
embrace financial discipline.
Similarly mobile phone
brand Orange has created
a bright future for
its shareholders, and
is estimated to have
delivered around £27
billion to its various
owners, as measured
by its cumulative acquisition
values.
First, find the bottom
line
The bottom line for
marketers is the same
as in every other part
of the business. It
is the commercial and
legal requirement of
the company to deliver
a return to shareholders.
Marketing's focus tends
to be closer to the
top line - the revenue
and sales contribution
- which is seen as more
relevant to their actions,
yet can often conceal
a whole set of factors
which determine the
real performance of
the business, and can
therefore blinker marketers
from making the right
decisions.
"Shareholder value"
is a much-quoted and
often-challenged phrase.
It inevitably invites
questions about other
stakeholders, whether
a focus on shareholders
detracts from a customer
orientation, whether
it encourages a short-term
focus rather than longer-term
investment. These are
actually red-herrings,
and shouldn't distract
us from pursuing the
benefits of a value-based
approach.
So
what does shareholder
value actually mean?
-
Shareholder
value is measured
by the total return
to investors over
time.
-
We
call this the total
shareholder return
(TSR).
-
It
incorporates the long-term
growth in the value
of shares, and dividends
that investors might
receive along the
way.
-
Internally
it is best reflected
by "economic
profit" (EP)
which is sometimes
known as economic
value added.
-
EP
measures the future
cash that is likely
to flow to the business
based on its existing
and future products
and services.
And what's so different
about that?
-
Shareholder
value is a long-term
measure, not to be
confused with short-term
rise and falls in
share price.
-
It
is therefore a lead
indicator, creating
a better view of the
future, enabling better
decision-making at
both strategic and
operational levels.
-
EP
differs from operating
profit, in that it
subtracts a charge
("the cost of
equity") for
the return shareholders
would expect on their
investment.
-
EP
therefore focuses
each area of the business
- including every
product and activity
- on exceeding the
expected returns of
shareholders.
Marketers who measure
results by volumes,
market shares, revenues,
sales contributions,
and even operating profits
are not necessarily
focused on the bottom
line. Whilst these are
worthy metrics, and
all have the potential
to support better marketing,
there is no guarantee
that they actually do
contribute to the bottom
line or that they actually
do create additional
value for shareholders.
Typically a product
may look operationally
profitable, however
when one takes into
account the amount of
capital involved, it
is actually economically
unprofitable (because
the high cost of equity
eats up the operating
margin). Trying to sell
more of such a product
would be the worst thing
you could do.
An example of this thinking
in action is at Diageo,
where virtually all
marketing effort is
on the eight brands
which generate the vast
majority of economic
profit. Diageo realise
that most of the other
brands are actually
destroying value, and
therefore have their
support restricted unless
they can be reengineered
to create value.
Second, make the
connections
The real test, and the
real trick, is to make
the hard connections
between these economic
measures that drive
the bottom line financially,
and the practical marketing
activities that are
driven by the decisions
and performance of marketing
people. For example,
a real understanding
of what drives the best
TSR has helped marketers
at Coca Cola know whether
brand building, driving
sales volume or tactical
pricing has the biggest
impact on their business
performance. This knowledge
influences the reward
structures of marketers,
and the decisions they
make.
Indeed, whilst marketing
objectives such as improving
customer retention sound
like worthy goals, they
may not be the most
important drivers of
the bottom line in your
business. The value
drivers of each company
will differ, partly
influenced by the amount
of capital employed
in the business, and
the dynamics of the
market, although they
will probably be similar
across a sector.
The simplest way for
marketers to think about
what creates shareholder
value is perhaps to
focus on the concept
of future cash, and
imagine a pipe of cash
stretching from today
into the future. The
marketers challenge
is to make this cash
pipe as long, as fat,
and fast-flowing as
possible. The bigger
the size of the future
cash pipe, the more
shareholder value. Consider
-
How
can you make the cash
pipe fatter? Marketing
should focus on competitive
differentiation and
improving pricing,
improved communication
effectiveness and
cost of sale, and
on driving sales of
value-creating products.
-
How
can you make the cash
pipe longer? Marketing
should drive market
and product innovation,
developing positions
in emerging markets,
strengthening customer
relationships and
brands, and thereby
reducing risk and
future volatility.
-
How
can you make the cash
flow faster? Marketing
should accelerate
new products to market,
focusing on the time
to penetrate markets
rather than just to
reach them, activating
relationships and
cross-selling, locking
into existing market
networks rather than
seeking to create
their own.
This
is a simple model, but
starts to demonstrate
why the CEO must use
marketing rather than
anything to drive shareholder
value. Process efficiency
will never create a
fatter, longer, faster
pipe. In reality these
connections must be
defined through more
rigorous "value
driver analysis",
maps which connect marketing
decisions to marketing
outcomes, marketing
outcomes to financial
impacts, and financial
impacts to shareholder
value.
The
benefits can be huge,
and quick. Microsoft
found that such connections
across their sales and
marketing activity delivered
over $1 billion benefit
in the first year.
Third, drive the bottom
line
John Sunderland, CEO
of Cadbury Schweppes,
knew what he was talking
about when he took up
his position in 1997
and announced "Within
four years I will double
the value of this business
economic profit
will be our key measure
of success, and building
strong brands will be
at the heart of achieving
this."
So if your CEO sets
out an ambition like
this, as a marketer
what should you do differently?
-
Where
and how to compete
a value-based market
strategy will look
very different from
a conventional one,
identifying which
existing and emerging
areas of the market
offer the best long-term
return on equity.
Dixons, for example,
realise almost two-thirds
of their group's value
from emerging business
areas which currently
generate less than
10% of revenue.
-
What
to focus your effort
on
a value-based
portfolio analysis
will identify which
products are the value-creators,
and which are the
value-destroyers,
and therefore where
to focus effort. Taking
into account the cost
of equity creates
a very different picture
than a typical Boston
Grid. A similar analysis
will identify the
best customers.
-
How
to capture the value
you create
a
value-based proposition
rightly focuses on
creating value for
customers, addressing
customers' real needs
and outperforming
the competition. It
is equally about finding
ways to capture as
much of this value
as possible for shareholders,
by maximising the
perceived value, and
optimising pricing
whilst still offering
"value for money".
How
to get a better return
on spend
a value-based
marketing programme
identifies the marketing
actions that will generate
best returns, this year
and longer-term. It
identifies which levers
to pull (eg advertising,
sales promotion, product
development, relationship
building) and how to
most effectively leverage
your marketing assets
(such as brands, customer
knowledge and distribution
networks).
Value-based marketing
is often dismissed as
sophisticated analysis,
or complex performance
metrics. It is much
more. It is fundamentally
about decision-making
- choice of markets
and positionings, choice
of products and customers,
choice of offering and
price, choice of activities
and investment.
Most conventional data
analysis is driven by
the need to create a
broad range of proxy
measures because there
appears to be no best
measure; or marketers
are so unsure about
their criteria for decision-making
that they take comfort
from thick reports.
So does a value-based
approach to marketing
create more analysis
and inhibit creativity?
Quite the opposite.
Great news for marketers
The great thing about
value-based marketing
is that it focuses on
the numbers that really
matter, and the right
basis for effective
decision-making. Invest
once in the process
to generate the right
data, then you have
less data, quicker to
generate, with a much
clearer focus
and therefore much clearer
scope to focus innovation,
and much more time to
creatively do it. And
the CEO will like it
too. What board will
argue with a new marketing
proposal that creates
significantly more value
for shareholders?
At Cadbury-Schweppes,
four years later, John
Sunderland's value-based
marketing approach focused
on creating exceptional
value for customers
by investing in leading
brands, and on market
and product innovation.
With stretching performance
targets, clear marketing
priorities, and billion-dollar
acquisitions such as
Snapple, he achieved
his targets thanks to
great marketing.
This is a message for
every CEO as well as
every marketer. PA's
new research demonstrates
how value-based marketing
really can create much
more shareholder value
- on average 5 times
more - than anything
else a business can
do.
This is great news for
the marketer (ready
to command a much stronger
voice in the boardroom,
and gain support for
new initiatives and
bigger budgets), great
news for the customer
(who will benefit from
the increased investment
in existing and new
products and service),
and great news for shareholders
(who are likely to getter
a better return on their
investments).
PA's checklist for getting
to grips with value-based
marketing:
-
Value
base: Is your business
likely to meet or
exceed the expectations
of investors? Are
you delivering a positive
economic profit? Does
the sum of future
cashflows match your
market capitalisation?
-
Value
drivers: Which marketing
results will most
effectively drive
value creation in
your business? How
do sales revenue,
brand awareness, or
customer retention
drive performance?
-
Value
sources: Where are
the best sources of
future cash in your
markets? Are there
any emerging rich
niches to tap into?
eg in the automotive
market, financing
and after sales support
offer the best returns.
-
Value
assets: how can you
most effectively leverage
your marketing assets,
such as brands and
relationships, market
networks and knowledge?
Focus less on how
valuable brands are,
and more on the value
it can drive.
-
Value
creators: Which are
the products and customers
in your portfolio
through which you
can generate the best
return on equity?
Refocus your investment
on these, and reengineer
those that are unprofitable.
-
Value
propositions: How
can you create more
value for customers,
and stronger differentiation
from competitors?
Focus on your distinctive
benefits and quantify
the value customers
can derive from them.
-
Value
levers: Which marketing
actions should you
spend your budget
on for best short-
and long-term return?
Advertising to build
brands, or sales promotion
to drive sales? Relationship
building or product
development?
-
Value
capture: How will
you maximise the capturable
value from your propositions?
How can you improve
the perceived value
of an offer, and thereby
increase the price
whilst still offering
value for money?
-
Value
metrics: What are
the measures by which
you can tell whether
your marketing is
creating value? Which
are the most important
to achieve? How are
they linked to marketing
performance and rewards?
-
Value
creation: How can
you most effectively
embed a value-thinking,
value-creating mindset
in your marketers?
What difference does
it make to your marketing,
and how can you most
useful introduce the
disciplines?
For more information
about marketing best
practice, and the
concepts in this paper,
please contact Peter
Fisk at PA Consulting
Group on 020 7333
5422 or peter.fisk@paconsulting.com.
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